Top 10 Ways New Forex Traders Lose Money

Top 10 Ways New Forex Traders Lose Money

 

Top 10 Ways New Forex Traders Lose Money

Statistics show that the initial success for new forex traders is disturbingly low. Over time, this trend tends to improve, but for many, it is too late. After posting a series of losses, many new traders will give-up, believing that forex trading is simply not for them. It does not have to be this way.

  1. Lack of Experience

    Forex trading - like any new initiative - has a learning curve. However, unlike learning a new skill such as learning to play guitar for instance, you are not risking your entire savings while discovering the difference between a major and minor chord. Learning about the currency markets and basic trading principles solely on a trial and error basis is not a recommended approach for gaining the skills necessary to be a successful forex trader.
    Most online forex brokers offer a practice version of their trading platform that offers the very same experience as a live trading application. Typically, once you create a practice account, you are free to trade and deal as you wish risking only the "play" money used to seed your account.
    With a forex demo account, you can see how the market reacts to economic forces including news events without actually risking your investment capital. However, you must treat this account seriously if you expect to learn from the experience. If you simply shrug off a loss without understanding why the loss occurred, then you are wasting your time and setting yourself up for disappointment. Take advantage of this unique forex market training tool before committing your money to a real forex trading account.

  2. Unreasonable Expectations

    First off, stop believing all the “get-rich quick” hype still perpetrated by some forex dealers. Yes, there are those that do get rich trading forex but some people also get rich selling houses. In either case, it does not happen overnight and it might take years to gain the experience and insight to turn forex trading into a full-time, successful occupation.
    As a new forex trader, if you manage to stay in the game without losing all your money in the first few months as is all-too-common – then you may be able to learn what is required to be profitable. In other words, don’t quit your day job just yet.

  3. Absence of a Sound Trading Plan

    Next to having unreasonable expectations with regards to the risks associated with forex trading and the amount of time required to be successful, a common mistake made by new traders is the lack of a forex trading plan. In reality, there are two aspects to this plan; an overall objective for your trading activities and a plan for each trade you make.
    Your overall objective should include the currencies that you intend to deal in, the amount of leverage you will use, and the amount of time you intend to devote to your trading activities. Your plan must also include a realistic rate of return you expect to achieve. In addition to your overall objectives plan, you also need an exit strategy plan for each trade you make that includes the upper and lower boundaries of the trade.
    In other words, you must identify the level at which you will close positions and take your profits (take-profit order) or in the case of a losing trade, the level at which you are prepared to go before you get out of the trade thus limiting your losses (limit order). We’ll talk more about stop-loss and take-profit instructions later.

  4. Lack of Discipline

    A plan is only of value if you actually have the patience and the discipline to follow it. While this can be difficult, it is necessary if you expect to be successful, and it is this very reason why developing a plan prior to the trade is so fundamental. As rates fluctuate, you can easily get caught up in the market and it is only human nature that you will begin to second-guess your actions. If, for instance, the rate moves up surpassing your original take profit point, you may be tempted to hold out for an even higher return; alternatively, if the price drops below your limit level but you believe there is a big rebound just around the corner, you may be tempted to keep the order open on the hopes of a reversal.
    But does either scenario really make sense? If before you entered the trade you had a sound reason for establishing both your take profit and your loss limit levels, how likely is it that conditions have changed so much that now you are prepared to throw your previous assessments out the window in the heat of the battle? Can you be sure that you are not acting on emotion rather than sound analysis?
    This is why a plan is so important – it allows you to avoid the emotion that is bound to arise during times of volatility.
    Now this is not to say that a trading plan can never be revised – in fact, your overall objectives should be re-examined every few months or even more frequently if required. As well, it may be necessary sometimes to abandon a plan mid-trade if market conditions warrant but this should be the exception and not the norm.
    And yes, sometimes the market can be so volatile that no amount of planning will produce positive results. In this case, maybe the best option is simply not to trade until you can get a better handle on things. Never allow yourself to fall into the “I have to do something” trap – sometimes the best plan is to do nothing.

  5. Failure to Include Stop-Loss and Take Profit Instructions

    When you place a market order and leave it open – that is, enter a trade at the market price without instructions to close the order – you are in effect, gambling with the total value of your account. For this reason, you should consider adding stop-loss instructions to all open positions.
    For instance, if you are holding a long GBP/USD position, you can include a stop-loss instruction that automatically sells your long position if the rate falls to a certain level. In this way, you can limit the amount that you could lose on any given trade – even if you are unable to constantly monitor your account.
    Take-profit orders are similar in that they allow you to establish the rate at which you want open positions closed in order to lock-in profits. Again, you simply need to identify the rate at which to take the profits, and the trading system closes the position without further intervention on your part.

  6. Excessive Leverage

    Depending on your experience level, trade leverage can be a powerful tool to help you maximize returns, or it can be the cause of your downfall. It is not something to be taken lightly and if you do not understand how it works, don’t trade until you do understand.

  7. Holding Too Many Open Trades

    Fighter pilots call it “helmet fire” and it happens when too much is happening around you too quickly for you to react. In the cockpit of a jet fighter, it can get you killed – as a forex trader, you may not end up dead but you will probably end up broke.

  8. Holding Losing Positions Too Long

    One of the things that really separates seasoned forex traders from those just starting out is their ability to determine when a losing trade is not going to reverse the trend. Rather than “hold and hope”, disciplined traders will take the loss and get out much more quickly.
    This is another reason to set protective stops on all your trades; if you include effective stops when you submit a new trade, you can at least limit your losses without having to spend too much time “babysitting” the order. If the trade hits the stop, you will lose the amount committed but you also protect the bulk of your capital, leaving you with funds to move into something else that, hopefully, will be more profitable.
    Sometimes, you just have to treat these things as life lessons – learn and move on.

  9. Ignoring Rate Spread Fluctuations and the Impact Spreads Have on Profitability

    Exchange rate spreads – the difference between the bid and the ask price – are of utmost importance and directly affect the profitability of each trade. You need to be aware that spread differentials can fluctuate wildly during the day – sometimes to the point of turning a profitable trade into a losing one.
    You also need to understand that forex spreads will widen during off-market hours when volumes and liquidity are lower. In addition, spreads tend to widen ahead of important news such as an impending interest rate decision or the latest employment results.

  10. Thinking About the “Big Win” More Than Effective Cash Management (AKA Greed)

    This one is pretty straight-forward – greed; or more correctly, how greed can cause you to enter into ridiculous trades. This must be the same gene that causes some people to keep “doubling-down” even when the odds are so against them that it make no sense at all. If you want to gamble, go to Vegas.

Fundamental and Technical Analysis (learn forex online)

Fundamental and Technical Analysis (learn forex online)

Analysis of the market is not merely a part of trading; it is the essence of forex trading. Market analysis generally takes one of two approaches, or a merging of the two approaches. The first approach, fundamental analysis, considers factors and events, opinions and policies that might impact the future value of a currency. The second approach, called Technical Analysis, involves the study of historic and current currency values and trading volume. Whatever the approach, the objective of analysis-technical, fundamental, or blended-is to attempt to project currency price direction and identify trading opportunities. 

Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental analysis for forex traders focuses on factors that might influence currency values, including interest rates, the overall state of affected economies, central bank and government monetary and fiscal policies, Gross National Product, etc. Some of the factors that should be considered in fundamental analysis are described below:

The Economy

While the worldwide recession of 2008 was a factor for all countries, it affected different countries to different extents, and different nations responded to the challenge using varying strategies. Those differences resulted in changes in the relative value of world currencies. In addition to global events and responses, more localized changes in localized economic conditions affect the value of individual currencies. Events that have a detrimental effect on economies tend to decrease the relative values of economies, while those events that have a positive effect tend to increase the value of related currencies. For example, a sustained drought in Australia might result in downward pressure on the Australian Dollar, while an increase in oil prices can result in a jump in the Canadian Dollar.

Political (In)Stability

All major currencies are issued by politically stable countries. However political stability changes 
over time-sometimes abruptly. Dramatic changes in political stability can affect currency values dramatically by affecting confidence in the currency, and by reducing economic activity. Fundamental analysis of currency trading should include keeping close watch on changes in political stability in related regions, starting with base knowledge of regional political stability. A good source of basic political information on countries is the Central Intelligence Agency of the United States. Their website has a World Factbook and is a good place to start a general analysis of the baseline politics and stability of a country

Government Policy

Government policies - particularly monetary and fiscal policy can have substantial impact on the value of the nation's currency. Nations often use interest rate as an important tool in monetary policy - increasing interest rates to cool economic growth and curb inflation, and decreasing rates to stimulate economies. Fiscal policy also impacts currency values; higher taxation can slow economic growth, while low taxation and spending can stimulate economies. Of course, these factors will affect currency values

Observing Other Participants

Another fundamental aspect of forex trading is the understanding other market participants and the effect they may have on currency values. Governments and Central Banks, private banks and other financial institutions, hedge funds and other speculators may all play a role. Central banks or hedge funds can buy the currency, and raise the price in one day. Large private banks can also affect the market with their activity, but usually only over a long term period. The actions of private speculators can also impact currency prices.

Events and Reports

Agencies of many world governments track statistical data that reveals aspects of the economy. Often, the agency will release the results of their data collection and analysis at regular scheduled intervals. Such reports often relate directly to regional economic conditions, like inflation rates, gross national product, employment rates, trade balance and inflation. Those reports can have a dramatic impact on currency values. The forex trader should be aware of the timing of such reports, and adjust trading strategy appropriately - sometimes simply exiting all related trades (being flat) because of the uncertainty that precedes such reports. Fortunately, the timing of such events is known in advance, and reported widely on online economic calendars.
Other events can also impact currency values dramatically. Such events include meetings of central bank committees or release of national budgets.

Economic Theories and Models

Forex trading is a recent development, but stocks and equities have been studied for a long time, and economic theories and models abound on the best way to analyze information.
These models look at various aspects, such as the activities of business in the economy, and even the most basic psychological attributes such as belief that the country is moving in the right direction. Business activity is a long term indicator of strength in the economy. A widespread belief that a country's fundamental economic indicators are accurate will sustain a currency's value, even if the short term economic outlook may be bleak.

The theories available to the investor include those on currency parity and national balance of payments, and models on interest rates, the role of money, and the types of assets purchased in a country. The data used by these instruments include economic and employment statistics, interest and inflation rates, and sales information such as gross domestic product, trade and capital flows and retail sales. By using this information, the trader can evaluate the fundamentals of a nation's economy, and ensure the basic research is sound

Technical Analysis and Charting

Often, forex markets are studied through the use of charts that show market prices over a period of time. Traditionally, financial charts were drawn by hand. Fortunately, today such charts are available through forex trading platforms, and are available online on websites such as this one http://forex.tradingcharts.com/chart/

Charts are used extensively by traders, to study past patterns of price movement, identify ongoing trends, and to try forecasting future price movement. Technical indicators are often used in conjunction with charts. Simple technical indicators include moving averages. Many complex indicators are available, which involve complex mathematical analysis of price data. Fortunately, online charts do all the calculations automatically, and display the results as overlays on the chart.
Forex charts are usually presented in one of several formats, including line, bar chart and candlestick.

Bar Charts

Perhaps the most popular type of forex chart is known as the bar chart. Bar charts plot price (in the vertical dimension) over a period of time (in the horizontal dimension). Each bar on the chart represents a fixed time period, which can often be selected by the viewer if the chart is being viewed online or through a forex trading platform. Each single bar (or 'tick') on a bar chart illustrates 4 distinct prices for the period of time represented by the chart. Those prices are: open - currency price at the start of the period; high - the highest price during the period; low - the lowest price during the period; and close - the price of the currency at the end of the period. 

With experience at reading charts, a trader can visualize market action quickly from a bar chart or can study the chart in depth to identify trends, levels of price support and resistance, indications of potential trend reversal, repeating cycles, and much more. The same capabilities exist in another popular form of chart, which displays the same information, but in a different format.

Candlestick Charts

Like bar charts, candlestick charts plot forex price levels over time. Candlesticks display the same information as bar charts for each "tick": open, high, low and close. However, the presentation of those four prices is dramatically different than in a bar chart.

In a candlestick chart, each individual time period (or tick) is shown as a small graphical image called a candlestick. High and low prices for the period are shown as thin vertical lines at the top and bottom, extending beyond the thicker "main body" of each candlestick. The top and bottom of the main body of each candlestick represent the opening and closing prices for the period, and the color of the candlestick main body signifies which was higher: the closing price or the opening price. Often, a higher close is signified by a white, hollow, green or lightly colored main body, and a lower close is indicated by a solid black or reddish main body.

Traders trained and experienced in the use of candlestick charts look for visual patterns, and specific candlestick formations that signal potential trend changes or other market activity.

Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis goes hand-in-hand with forex charting. Technical analysis attempts to forecast future price movement through the mathematical analysis of past price action. For many traders, technical analysis is the most important tool for examining the market. Technical analysis involves the study of past and forex prices-often though the use of charts-with the objective of predicting future prices movements and trends, and identifying opportunities for profitable forex trading.
Many traders advocate technical analysis as the most (or only!) reasonable method to attempt to predict prices. That opinion is based on the idea (and cliche) that the "market action discounts everything". That statement means that all factors that can be known that can impact currency prices are already reflected in the currency price. (Of course, few technical traders would dare ignore pending events, such as the release of economic reports discussed in the section above.). 

In addition to the belief that the "market action discounts everything, fundamental analysis is based on two additional ideas:
 
Prices move in trends: this truism is apparent by observing a forex chart. Currency prices tend to move in the same direction for periods of time.
 
Market history repeats itself: Again, some examples of repetitive cycles can be observed on almost any forex chart. However, this premise proposes an idea more subtle: that for a set of general setup conditions in currency price history, currency prices are likely to respond in direction and manner similar to their response to the same initial conditions in the past. 

Various simple tools can be used in technical analysis, such as moving averages, trend lines and support levels, or the advanced trader might choose from a wide range of advanced analyses and theories including relative strength index, Fibonacci studies, cycles, and many more.
Some popular fundamental analyses include Elliott Wave Theory, Fibonacci Studies, and Pivot Points.

The Elliott Wave Theory holds that markets are affected by the psychology of the population, and move in response to this psychology in a predictable pattern. The theory was developed in the 1920's for stock markets and is now being used in forex trading.

Fibonacci Studies look at the relationship of numbers and apply the same sequence analysis to the forex market, to project the direction the market will move.
Pivot Points refers to the point at which the currency changes direction and increases or decreases over the day. Information from the previous day is examined to see where the pivot point will be for the current trading day.

All of these tools provide the trader with the perspective needed to ensure trades are accurate and profit is maximized.

Many books have been written about fundamental analysis, and there is much much more to learn on the topic.

The Forex Market, Forex Tutorial: Introduction to Currency Trading

 
The foreign exchange market (forex or FX for short) is one of the most exciting, fast-paced markets around. Until recently, forex trading in the currency market had been the domain of large financial institutions, corporations, central banks, hedge funds and extremely wealthy individuals. The emergence of the internet has changed all of this, and now it is possible for average investors to buy and sell currencies easily with the click of a mouse through online brokerage accounts.

Daily currency fluctuations are usually very small. Most currency pairs move less than one cent per day, representing a less than 1% change in the value of the currency. This makes foreign exchange one of the least volatile financial markets around. Therefore, many currency speculators rely on the availability of enormous leverage to increase the value of potential movements. In the retail forex market, leverage can be as much as 250:1. Higher leverage can be extremely risky, but because of round-the-clock trading and deep liquidity, foreign exchange brokers have been able to make high leverage an industry standard in order to make the movements meaningful for currency traders.

Extreme liquidity and the availability of high leverage have helped to spur the market's rapid growth and made it the ideal place for many traders. Positions can be opened and closed within minutes or can be held for months. Currency prices are based on objective considerations of supply and demand and cannot be manipulated easily because the size of the market does not allow even the largest players, such as central banks, to move prices at will.

The forex market provides plenty of opportunity for investors. However, in order to be successful, a currency trader has to understand the basics behind currency movements.

The goal of this forex tutorial is to provide a foundation for investors or traders who are new to the foreign currency markets. We'll cover the basics of exchange rates, the market's history and the key concepts you need to understand in order to be able to participate in this market. We'll also venture into how to start trading foreign currencies and the different types of strategies that can be employed.

Learn What Is Forex? First Step to Goal

DEFINITION of 'Forex - FX'

The market in which currencies are traded. The forex market is the largest, most liquid market in the world with an average traded value that exceeds $1.9 trillion per day and includes all of the currencies in the world.

INVESTOPEDIA EXPLAINS 'Forex - FX'

There is no central marketplace for currency exchange; trade is conducted over the counter. The forex market is open 24 hours a day, five days a week and currencies are traded worldwide among the major financial centers of London, New York, Tokyo, Zürich, Frankfurt, Hong Kong, Singapore, Paris and Sydney.

The forex is the largest market in the world in terms of the total cash value traded, and any person, firm or country may participate in this market.
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What is Forex Currency Trading

What is Forex Currency Trading

For those who new to Forex, Foreign Exchange or simply known as Forex or even FX is the buying of one particular currency and selling of another currency at the same time. In simple terms, you are like a “money changer” when you trade forex.
The forex market is the world’s largest financial market with an average transaction of USD 3.8 trillion everyday and is constantly increasing. Unlike other financial market, forex market is the most liquidity market to ensure no market manipulations and better trade execution.

Forex Currency Trading System

For me, trading in forex currencies is without a doubt, one of the most profitable and lucrative financial instrument. Successful traders can sometimes earned you a yearly ROI (return of investment) more than 100% based on only 3% of the capital per trade by following the right forex trading strategy. It must be simple to trade yet highly profitable.
From my trading experience, a successful Forex currency trading system able to deliver these 5 simple things:
  • It can either Manual system or EAs as long as it is proven profitable (Updated on April 8, 2013) (My previous statement which now I think back is not true anymore; published on May 4, 2012: It must not a robot. (Just think with common sense: if forex robots do make big money, there will no poor people in this world)
  • Have a trading track records at least 10 years. (to prove that it is CONSISTENTLY profitable regardless any market conditions)
  • Best if the systems do not reveal stop loss. (to avoid stop hunting by market maker brokers)
  • Do not affect your quality of life (do not require much time to stick to computer chart all day long or night-owl trading)
  • Do not cause stress or emotional roller coaster. (make big profit and then suffer big loss the next trade)
As simple as that, if you are able to follow this type of system with discipline and consistently, then you are sure on your way to become a successful and profitable forex trader.

101 Forex Currency Trading Blog

The main reason I’m here is to share my trading experience, wisdom or even mistakes, so that you can learn from it and shorten your journey to earn a consistent income from forex market. Turn your previous forex losses into the profitable opportunities by following my 101 forex currency trading blog and learn the proper forex currency trading mindsets that separates the winners from the losers.
Forex trading isn’t difficult, with the right trading mentality and proven profitable forex system, you can become a successful trader and earn a decent monthly income from forex market.
Did you know that Japanese housewives is actually the largest population of the retail forex trading? They have been very wise and enterprising in grapping the lucrative opportunity that forex currency trading offers.